Well, the accident in Japan has been upgraded to a 7, the same as Chernobyl. More and more people are being moved away from their homes but despite the 7, all we hear is a comforting gush of PR saying that things are under control and its just a matter of time. Time before what?
Well, I suspect most mean before it falls out of the journalistic target zone for good stories and becomes a once in a while "whatever happened to..." update. After that I suspect the nuclear brigade are hoping that we will all forget that the most basic rule of big engineering has been broken once again.
What do I mean? Well, in the Challenger disaster, the Columbia disaster, Texas CIty, Macondo and now Fukushima, the engineers were not quite as confident as management, didn't want to jeopardise their positions or weren't consulted and the unthinkable happened.
Key ingredients:
No assessment of the impact of very high impact, very low probability events
No Plan B
A corporate culture lacking focus on process safety
Poor management information and weak reporting structures
Unnecessary corporate complexity
Arrogant management used to getting their own way or politically influenced decision makers
Who next?
